Regional Climate Response of Middle Eastern, African and South Asian Monsoon Regions to Explosive Volcanism and ENSO Forcing

Muhammad Mubashar Dogar, Tomonori Sato

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

18 Scopus citations


It is well observed that the monsoon climate experiences substantial climatic changes following explosive volcanism. Likewise, previous studies show that the monsoon climate regimes, especially, the African and South Asian tropical regions, are adversely affected by El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events. Hence, studying the sensitivity of the monsoon regions to the effect of these forcing factors, that is, explosive volcanism and volcanic-induced ENSO forcing, is essential for better understanding the driving mechanism and climate variability in these regions. Using observations and a high resolution atmospheric model, effectively at 50- and 25-km grid spacing, this study shows that ENSO and tropical eruptions together weaken the upward branch of Northern Hemisphere (NH) Hadley cell, that is, Intertropical Convergence Zone. This results in a significant decrease of monsoonal precipitation, suggesting severe drought conditions over the NH tropical rain belt regions. The volcanic-induced direct radiative cooling and associated land-sea thermal contrast result in significant warming and drying due to the reduction of clouds over the monsoon regions in boreal summer. The posteruption ENSO circulation also results in warming and drying over NH tropical rain belt regions. This study confirms that the monsoon climate regime responds vigorously to posteruption direct radiative and indirect circulation impacts caused by volcanic-induced ENSO forcing. Hence, quantification of magnitude and spatial pattern of these postvolcanic direct and indirect climatic responses is important for better understanding of climate variability and changes in Asian and African monsoon regions.
Original languageEnglish (US)
Pages (from-to)7580-7598
Number of pages19
JournalJournal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres
Issue number14
StatePublished - Jun 18 2019

Bibliographical note

KAUST Repository Item: Exported on 2020-10-01
Acknowledgements: The HiRAM simulation data at both resolutions, that is, HIRAM-C360 and HIRAM-C180, can be accessed from The NOAA/OAR/ESRL PSD, Boulder, Colorado, United States provides the UDEL observation data set, through their website at http://www. The simulation results and figures are also available from the authors upon request. The authors would like to thank the Japanese Society for the Promotion of Science (JSPS) and Hokkaido University for supporting this research through the JSPS RONPAKU Program. Competing financial interests. The authors declare no competing financial interests.


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