Is a global warming signature emerging in the tropical Pacific?

K. Ashok, T. P. Sabin, P. Swapna, R. G. Murtugudde

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

51 Scopus citations

Abstract

The tropical pacific experienced a hitherto-unseen anomalous basinwide warming from May 2009 through April 2010 with the maximum warming to the east of the dateline, but for a weak anomalous cooling west of 140°E after early boreal fall. Our observed analysis and model experiments isolate the potential teleconnections from TP during the summer of 2009. Further, we show through an empirical orthogonal function analysis of the tropical Pacific SSTA that the anomalous conditions in TP during this period could have manifested as a canonical El Nio, but for a slowly intensifying background west-east gradient. This zonal SST gradient is subject to an increasing trend associated with global warming. A possible implication is that any further increase in global warming may result in more basinwide warm events in place of canonical El Nios, along with the occurrence of more intense La Niaños and El Nio Modokis. Copyright 2012 by the American Geophysical Union.
Original languageEnglish (US)
JournalGeophysical Research Letters
Volume39
Issue number2
DOIs
StatePublished - Jan 1 2012
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Generated from Scopus record by KAUST IRTS on 2023-09-21

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • Geophysics
  • General Earth and Planetary Sciences

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