Factors affecting drilling incidents: Prediction of suck pipe by XGBoost model

Talgat Kizayev, Sonny Irawan, Javed Akbar Khan, Sumeer Ahmad Khan, Baoping Cai, Nazia Zeb, Dennis Delali Kwesi Wayo

Research output: Chapter in Book/Report/Conference proceedingConference contribution

1 Scopus citations


The unproductive time is very high due to drill string jamming. So the main objective of this research is to determine the influences of the parameters in the accidents of stuck pipes using the construction of XGBoost models. To develop the model, drilling parameters are taken from daily drilling reports of the construction of 30 wells in the West Qurna field, Iraq. The data includes well drilling reports from 2013 to 2020. The results show that the factors such as Measured depth (MD), Rate of penetration (ROP), 10-sec gel (GEL1), Plastic Viscosity (PV), Mud weight (MW), Yield point (YP) contribute positively to the model predictions. In contrast, the factors such as Flow rate (FR), Rotation per minute (RPM), Filtrate (API/HPHT-FILTR and Bottom hole assembly (BHA) length has a negative contribution to the final model predictions. This research concluded that pipe sticking in the borehole is primarily due to inclination, penetration rate, and flow rate. This study is useful in the drilling of any field.
Original languageEnglish (US)
Title of host publicationEnergy Reports
PublisherElsevier BV
Number of pages10
StatePublished - Mar 21 2023

Bibliographical note

KAUST Repository Item: Exported on 2023-04-05
Acknowledgements: This work was supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2019YFE0105100). This work was also supported by the health management technology of offshore oil subsea production system, Foreign Young Talents Program of the Ministry of Science and Technology, grant number QN2021152001L. We aknowledge the support of Faculty-Development Competitive Research Grants Program for 2020-2022 (batch 2) Project Number: 080420FD1911.

ASJC Scopus subject areas

  • General Energy


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